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The 100 busiest Polymarket markets right now. Open one for the YES/NO split, our estimate where we have it and the resolution rules.

Polymarket, updated 10:33 UTC
Polymarket markets, busiest first
MarketYesSignal
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?OtherVol $2.7MNov 47¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?OtherVol $2.2MNov 494¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsVol $1.3MOct 2840¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsVol $1.3MNov 47¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $1MOct 2899¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsVol $842KNov 432¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?OtherVol $825KOct 3191¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsVol $762KNov 819¢
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana ShnaiderSportsVol $758KNov 616¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsVol $748KNov 425¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsVol $730KNov 470¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $622KNov 429¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSportsVol $536KOct 3181¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsVol $471KNov 469¢
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs IndiaSportsVol $439KNov 6>99¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $431KNov 471¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?OtherVol $423KJan 16¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherOtherVol $410KNov 4<1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $398KDec 91¢
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SportsVol $395KMay 30<1¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsSportsVol $369KOct 3018¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $358KOct 281¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?OtherVol $334KNov 1<1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $333KDec 925¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $314KApr 192¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $310KDec 9<1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?CryptoVol $297Kest. 13¢Nov 122¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsVol $293KOct 2833¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $285KNov 424¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $279KDec 974¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsVol $261KNov 41¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?CryptoVol $257Kest. 1¢Nov 12¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?OtherVol $252KJan 12¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $246KNov 477¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $231KOct 28<1¢
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuSportsVol $227KNov 661¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?OtherVol $226KNov 975¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?OtherVol $225KNov 489¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?OtherVol $217KNov 116¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?CryptoVol $217Kest. <1¢Nov 11¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerSportsVol $210KOct 3030¢
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)SportsVol $209KOct 3154¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?OtherVol $208KOct 3075¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?PoliticsVol $205KOct 253¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?OtherVol $203KNov 462¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?CryptoVol $199Kest. <1¢Nov 14¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSportsVol $197KOct 3179¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $192KOct 2899¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?CryptoVol $188Kest. 0¢Nov 11¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?OtherVol $184KOct 2999¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $182Kest. <1¢Oct 302¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $182Kest. 100¢Oct 30>99¢
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da SilvaSportsVol $177KNov 558¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $173KApr 193¢
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)SportsVol $172KOct 302¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?OtherVol $172KJan 141¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsVol $172KNov 423¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?OtherVol $170KOct 3196¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsVol $169KNov 43¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?OtherVol $163KJan 119¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $160Kest. 99¢Oct 3087¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsVol $154KNov 497¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?OtherVol $151KNov 11¢
Knicks vs. 76ersSportsVol $149KOct 3054¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $148Kest. 100¢Oct 3098¢
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?CryptoVol $133Kest. 0¢Nov 1<1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?OtherVol $130KNov 389¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?OtherVol $130KOct 30<1¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?OtherVol $129KNov 414¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?CryptoVol $129Kest. 0¢Oct 301¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoVol $128Kest. 1¢Jan 110¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $128KDec 92¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsVol $124KNov 813¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?OtherVol $123KJan 13¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?OtherVol $123KJan 111¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?OtherVol $121KJan 199¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?OtherVol $120KOct 3027¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?OtherVol $119KJan 152¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $118KOct 28<1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $118Kest. 24¢Oct 3027¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsVol $118KApr 112¢
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $118KApr 19<1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SportsVol $115KMay 3017¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoVol $112Kest. <1¢Jan 14¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?OtherVol $111KNov 439¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?OtherVol $110KNov 1<1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoVol $109KJan 1<1¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsSportsVol $109KOct 3036¢
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5SportsVol $109KOct 3018¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?OtherVol $108KJan 13¢
Hornets vs. WizardsSportsVol $106KOct 3047¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?CryptoVol $106Kest. 0¢Nov 1<1¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $106KNov 474¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?CryptoVol $105Kest. 0¢Oct 30<1¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $104KApr 1941¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?OtherVol $104KNov 1<1¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SportsVol $102KJun 2013¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?OtherVol $98.7KNov 13¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsVol $98.5KJan 12¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsSportsVol $98.3KOct 3060¢

Prices are cents per $1 YES share. A lamp lights when our estimate and the price are 5¢ or more apart. The model covers crypto price markets only and can be wrong.