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OtherEnds Jan 1, 2027Updated 13:24 UTC

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes3¢
Our estimate--

No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.

No97¢

Who holds the ball

Yes 3%97% No

The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.

Volume 24h
$106,044
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket, updated 13:24 UTC

How we got the estimate

No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.

Resolution rules

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Original rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.