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Polymarket odds on the big board

Live prices, our estimate where the model has one, whale fills and trader standings, laid out like a stadium scoreboard. Reading is free. Trading comes later.

Market of the night

CryptoEnds Nov 5, 2026Updated 15:16 UTC

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?

Yes12¢
Our estimate8¢
Gap−3¢

Price and estimate are less than 5¢ apart, so the lamp stays off. An estimate, not advice.

No86¢
Every market we estimateMarket priceOur estimate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?: 12¢ / 8¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?: <1¢ / 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?: <1¢ / 0¢Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?: 1¢ / 0¢Will Ethereum reach $2,900 November 2-8?: 1¢ / 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 5?: <1¢ / 0¢
Volume 24h
$169K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Ends
Nov 5

Markets on the board

Prices are cents per $1 YES share. A lamp lights when our estimate and the price are 5¢ or more apart. The model covers crypto price markets only and can be wrong.

Polymarket, updated 15:16 UTC
Polymarket markets, busiest first
MarketYesSignal
Markets we estimate, biggest gap first
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?CryptoVol $169Kest. 8¢Nov 512¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 November 2-8?CryptoVol $92.6Kest. 0¢Nov 91¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?CryptoVol $109Kest. 0¢Nov 51¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?CryptoVol $135Kest. 0¢Nov 5<1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?CryptoVol $133Kest. 0¢Nov 5<1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 5?CryptoVol $81.4Kest. 0¢Nov 5<1¢
Busiest right now
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $759KNov 495¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?OtherVol $673KNov 3>99¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?PoliticsVol $661KNov 395¢
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?OtherVol $628KNov 81¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $617KNov 497¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $470KNov 43¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?OtherVol $445KNov 828¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $440KNov 45¢
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary StoianaSportsVol $434KNov 12>99¢
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SportsVol $429KMay 30<1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?OtherVol $408KJan 113¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?EconomyVol $408KDec 974¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?OtherVol $401KJan 12¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsVol $358KOct 2830¢
See all markets

Whale tape

Big Polymarket fills and first big bets from fresh wallets. Rows of $25,000 and up run hot.

  1. Sold Yes

    Hot$71,217

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    CDAP1 20 min. ago

    at 76¢

  2. Bought No

    $15,203

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 6?

    shabbysalta 1 hr. ago

    at >99¢

  3. Bought Anastasia Zakharova

    $11,063

    Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar

    3648393489047 1 hr. ago

    at 83¢

  4. Bought Under

    $17,671

    PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 8.5

    Flaznorp 2 hr. ago

    at >99¢

  5. Bought NoNew whale

    $5,910

    Exact Score: Any Other Score?

    0x882f…0671 2 hr. ago

    at 97¢

  6. Bought Tomas Etcheverry

    $18,554

    Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry

    ferrariChampions2026 2 hr. ago

    at 57¢

  7. Bought NoNew whale

    $8,342

    Exact Score: Any Other Score?

    0x8a3a…bdb9 3 hr. ago

    at 97¢

  8. Bought NoNew whale

    $10,128

    Exact Score: Any Other Score?

    christina15-434 3 hr. ago

    at 97¢

Polymarket trade scanner, updated 15:16 UTCFull tape

Standings

Top wallets by profit this week, ranked on steadiness rather than one lucky hit. Their past says nothing about your next trade.

Trader standings
RkTraderP/LScore
1e46m3+$961K100
20x4e72…ffb9+$475K94
30xa2cd…2ba0+$1.1M87
4rdba+$860K86
5tnmh+$489K85
6googleplay+$1.3M83
7jakepaulthegoat2008+$1.3M83
8monkeymashingkeyboard+$1.1M83
9Bigggggggg+$790K83
10Papeasy+$611K82
Polymarket leaderboard, updated 15:16 UTCFull standings
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Prediction markets are risky: any position can go to zero. OddSnipe shows data and model estimates, not financial advice.