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OtherEnds Oct 30, 2026Updated 11:22 UTC

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Yes<1¢
Our estimate--

No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.

No>99¢

Who holds the ball

Yes 0%100% No

The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.

Volume 24h
$126,529
Ends
Oct 30, 2026
Polymarket, updated 11:22 UTC

How we got the estimate

No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.

Resolution rules

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Original rules text

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.