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PoliticsEnds Apr 1, 2028Updated 11:23 UTC

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Yes9¢
Our estimate--

No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.

No91¢

Who holds the ball

Yes 9%91% No

The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.

Volume 24h
$110,301
Ends
Apr 1, 2028
Polymarket, updated 11:23 UTC

How we got the estimate

No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.

Resolution rules

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Original rules text

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.