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PoliticsEnds Jan 1, 2027Updated 11:19 UTC

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes2¢
Our estimate--

No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.

No98¢

Who holds the ball

Yes 2%98% No

The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.

Volume 24h
$118,870
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket, updated 11:19 UTC

How we got the estimate

No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.

Resolution rules

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Original rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.