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The 100 busiest Polymarket markets right now. Open one for the YES/NO split, our estimate where we have it and the resolution rules.

Polymarket, updated 11:23 UTC
Polymarket markets, busiest first
MarketYesSignal
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsVol $1.3MNov 47¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsVol $1.3MOct 2841¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $1MOct 2899¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsVol $840KNov 432¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsVol $761KNov 820¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsVol $733KNov 425¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsVol $718KNov 470¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $609KNov 429¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsVol $476KNov 469¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $432KNov 471¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $357KOct 281¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsVol $289KOct 2833¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $289KApr 192¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $267KNov 424¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsVol $261KNov 41¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $232KOct 28<1¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $231KNov 477¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?PoliticsVol $205KOct 253¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $185KOct 2899¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsVol $171KNov 423¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsVol $170KNov 43¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $163KApr 193¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsVol $155KNov 497¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsVol $123KNov 813¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsVol $121KApr 112¢
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsVol $116KOct 28<1¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsVol $106KNov 474¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsVol $104KApr 1942¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsVol $100KJan 12¢

Prices are cents per $1 YES share. A lamp lights when our estimate and the price are 5¢ or more apart. The model covers crypto price markets only and can be wrong.