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PoliticsEnds Nov 4, 2026Updated 16:19 UTC

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes83¢
Our estimate--

No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.

No17¢

Who holds the ball

Yes 83%17% No

The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.

Volume 24h
$1,102,401
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Polymarket, updated 16:19 UTC

How we got the estimate

No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.

Resolution rules

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Original rules text

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.