Will Ethereum reach $2,900 November 2-8?
Price and estimate are less than 5¢ apart, so the lamp stays off. An estimate, not advice.
Who holds the ball
The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right. The white marker is our estimate.
- Volume 24h
- $95,863
- Ends
- Nov 9, 2026
How we got the estimate
Spot ETH $2,262 from Coinbase, Binance. Annual volatility 51%, measured on the last 7 days of hourly candles. Lognormal model with no drift: it ignores news and fat tails, so treat it as a reference point, not a forecast.
Resolution rules
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Original rules text
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.