Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No estimate for this one: our model covers crypto price markets only. Here you get the market price as is.
Who holds the ball
The bar is the market price: Yes on the left, No on the right.
- Volume 24h
- $1,182,128
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
How we got the estimate
No estimate for this market. Our model covers crypto price markets with a clear strike and date; here you get the Polymarket price only.
Resolution rules
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Original rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.